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Chicago Pays 26 Cents on the Pension Dollar. One Job in Nine Sits Empty.

Summary

Chicago's four pension funds were 26.2% funded at the close of fiscal 2024 — a $36.5 billion hole, per the City Council's own financial analysts — and now consume $2.76 billion a year, about one of every six dollars in the city's budget. Six months into 2026, the city reported it was already $130 million behind its own revenue plan. Citywide, 11.2% of budgeted full-time jobs sat vacant for eight straight months, per the Better Government Association — including 23.6% of the office created to reform the police department.

By Locusta · July 10, 2026

On July 7, 2026, Mayor Brandon Johnson's administration told Chicagoans the 2026 budget was already broken. A mid-year report found the revenue the City Council had voted in to balance the budget — selling old city debt to collectors, licensing augmented-reality games on public property, and renting ad space on bridge houses and light poles — had produced close to nothing. The debt sale alone was supposed to bring in about $90 million; no buyer ever emerged. The result is a fresh $130 million hole, six months into a budget year, in a city whose real problem predates this council fight by two decades: it owes its own retirees far more than it has saved to pay them, and it can't staff the government it already has.

Pension funds' coverage
26¢
per $1 owed, FY2024 vs up from 24.8¢ in FY2023
Citywide job vacancy rate
11.2%
Feb.–Sep. 2025 vs budgeted full-time positions
New 2026 budget hole
$130M+
reported Jul. 7, 2026 vs revenue that never materialized

Twenty-six cents on the dollar

Chicago runs four defined-benefit pension funds — for municipal workers, police, fire, and laborers — and by law each is supposed to reach 90% funded by 2055 or 2058. It is nowhere close. The city's own City Council Office of Financial Analysis, reviewing the fiscal 2024 Annual Comprehensive Financial Report, put the four funds' combined net pension liability at $36.5 billion against an aggregate funded ratio of 26.2% — up from 24.8% a year earlier, but still, in the office's own description, "severely underfunded" against a national average of roughly 80%. The Police and Fire funds are the worst off, each covering less than a quarter of what they owe:

Net pension liability by fund, FY2024
Combined $36.5 billion across four funds
Municipal (MEABF)
$15.1B
Police (PABF)
$13.8B
Fire (FABF)
$5.7B
Laborers' (LABF)
$1.9B
Source: City of Chicago Council Office of Financial Analysis, Overview & Analysis of FY2024 ACFR (Aug. 2025), Table 5
View data as table
Net pension liability and funded ratio, by fund
Municipal (MEABF)$15,147.9M25.03% funded
Police (PABF)$13,804.6M23.86% funded
Fire (FABF)$5,713.3M23.70% funded
Laborers' (LABF)$1,867.3M40.29% funded

Servicing that debt now eats a growing share of every budget the city passes. The 2026 Budget Overview sets a total 2026 pension contribution of $2.76 billion — roughly one of every six dollars in the city's $16.55 billion budget (net of interfund transfers) — funded from five sources: $1.42 billion in property tax collections, $790.0 million from the Corporate Fund, $222.4 million from the Water-Sewer Tax, $286.8 million from Enterprise and Special Revenue Funds, and $44.6 million in anticipated casino gaming tax revenue from Bally's, dedicated by statute to the Police and Fire funds. Nearly four of every five dollars the city collects in property taxes goes to pensions, the city's own Council Office of Financial Analysis notes. That $2.76 billion contribution splits unevenly across the four funds:

2026 pension contribution, by fund
$2.76 billion total, net of abatements
2026 pension contribution$2.8BMunicipal (MEABF)$1BPolice (PABF)$1.1BFire (FABF)$461.8MLaborers' (LABF)$145.5M
Source: City of Chicago, 2026 Budget Overview, Summary of Proposed Expenditures - Pension Funds
View data as table
2026 proposed pension contribution, by fund
Municipal (MEABF)$1,046.7M
Police (PABF)$1,106.3M
Fire (FABF)$461.8M
Laborers' (LABF)$145.5M

It could have been worse: the city made $820.5 million in advance pension payments above the statutory minimum between 2023 and 2025, funded mostly by one-time budget surpluses, specifically to slow the growth of the liability. Those surpluses are gone. The 2026 budget carries only a $120.2 million advance payment, down from $272 million the year before, and Illinois lawmakers' 2025 expansion of police and fire pension benefits will push required contributions higher again starting in 2027.

The office that can't fill itself

While the pension bill grows, the government paying it is short-staffed. Chicago's 2026 budget funds 34,173 positions and 35,760 full-time equivalents across all funds, but for the eight months between February and September 2025 — the only stretch for which the city has published monthly vacancy data — an average of 11.2% of budgeted full-time positions sat empty citywide, per a Better Government Association analysis of the city's own workforce data. At the Chicago Police Department specifically, 742 full-time positions were vacant in every one of those eight months — the same title, division, and section empty from February straight through September:

Persistent full-time vacancy rate, Feb.–Sep. 2025
Same position vacant all eight months; CPD divisions vs. citywide average
COPS Hiring Program
37.3%
Constitutional Policing & Reform
23.6%
CPD Administration
23.4%
Transit Security
21.9%
Bureau of Counter-Terrorism
14.5%
Bureau of Detectives
14%
Citywide average, all departments
11.2%
Patrol Services
1.6%
Source: Better Government Association Policy, CPD 2026 Budget Snapshot (Nov. 4, 2025), citing City of Chicago vacancy data
View data as table
Persistent vacancy rate by CPD division, Feb.–Sep. 2025
COPS Hiring Program37.3%56 of 150 positions
Constitutional Policing & Reform23.6%143 of 605 positions
CPD Administration23.4%80 of 342 positions
Transit Security21.9%7 of 32 positions
Bureau of Counter-Terrorism14.5%178 of 1,227 positions
Bureau of Detectives14.0%76 of 542 positions
Citywide average, all departments11.2%all budgeted full-time jobs
Patrol Services1.6%165 of 10,520 positions

The distribution is not random. Patrol Services, CPD's largest division at 10,520 budgeted positions, ran only 1.6% persistently vacant — the department fills the jobs that put officers on the street. The emptiest desks sit in the back office: the Office of Constitutional Policing and Reform, created to implement the department's federal consent decree, had 23.6% of its 605 positions vacant for the full eight months — the unit built to fix the department is missing nearly a quarter of its own staff. Where the city has trouble filling jobs, it pays overtime instead: CPD's 2026 overtime budget nearly doubles the 2025 figure, up $101.1 million, the same BGA analysis found — the single largest line-item increase in the department's budget.

A budget that never closes

The $130 million gap that opened in July 2026 is not a one-off. The city's own 2026 Budget Forecast, published in August 2025 before that year's budget was even proposed, warned Chicago would end 2025 with an in-year deficit of $146.0 million and faced a $1,149.3 million gap to close just to pass a balanced 2026 budget — itself worse than the $1.12 billion the city had forecast a year before that. The Civic Federation called the adopted 2026 budget's opening gap the largest in the city's history, rivaled only by 2021's pandemic-era shortfall, and found the final package still left the city's structural problem — spending growing faster than recurring revenue — unaddressed. Chicago's own budget task force told council members in June 2026 that 2027 is already tracking toward a $680 million gap, down from a preliminary estimate of more than $1 billion a year earlier — progress, if the pattern of this year holds, that a mid-year revenue report could still erase.

The takeaway

  • The pension math doesn't work at current funding levels. A $36.5 billion combined liability against 26.2% funded assets means the city is paying benefits largely out of new contributions, not investment earnings on money already saved — and 2025's expanded police and fire benefits raise the bill again starting in 2027.
  • Understaffing concentrates where it's least visible. Patrol stayed nearly full while the police reform office, hiring pipeline, and administrative divisions ran vacancy rates 9 to 23 times higher — and the city leaned on $101.1 million in added overtime rather than fill the jobs.
  • The 2026 budget is not an isolated failure. In-year deficits opened after each of the last two budgets was adopted ($146.0 million in 2025, $130 million-plus in 2026), and the pre-adoption gap for 2027 is already forecast at $680 million.

Figures cover City of Chicago funds and departments only, drawn from the most recent published editions of each cited document as of July 2026; Chicago Public Schools, Cook County, and the Chicago Teachers' Pension Fund operate separate budgets and are not included here.

Sources

  • City of Chicago, 2026 Budget Overview — official pension contribution totals and sources ($2.76 billion across four funds), the 2026 Summary of Proposed Budget - All Funds table ($16,554.6M grand total), and the 34,173-position/35,760- workforce summary. chicago.gov
  • City of Chicago, 2026 Budget Forecast (Aug. 2025) — the pre-adoption $1,149.3 million FY2026 gap, the $146.0 million FY2025 in-year deficit, and the prior year's $1.12 billion forecast. chicago.gov
  • City of Chicago Council Office of Financial Analysis (COFA), Overview & Analysis of Fiscal Year 2024 Annual Comprehensive Financial Report (Aug. 2025) — the $36.5 billion combined net pension liability, 26.2% aggregate funded ratio, and per-fund breakdown in Table 5. chicago.gov
  • City of Chicago Council Office of Financial Analysis (COFA), Understanding Chicago's Pension System (one-pager) — the "nearly 4 of every 5" property-tax-dollars-to-pensions figure and 2023–2026 advance-payment history. chicago.gov
  • Better Government Association Policy, "Chicago Police Department - BGA Policy 2026 Budget Snapshot" by Geoffrey Cubbage (Nov. 4, 2025) — the 11.2% citywide and 8.6% CPD vacancy rates, division-level persistent-vacancy table, and the $101.1 million CPD overtime increase, citing City of Chicago budget and monthly vacancy data. bettergov.org
  • Civic Federation, "Chicago's FY2026 Adopted Budget: Still Short of the Mark" — characterization of the 2026 opening gap as the largest in city history and assessment that structural deficit issues remain unaddressed. civicfed.org
  • Block Club Chicago, "Council-Backed Budget Could Lead To $130 Million Shortfall This Year, Mayor Says" by Quinn Myers (Jul. 7, 2026) — the new $130 million mid-year 2026 shortfall, the failed $90 million debt sale, and the budget task force's $680 million FY2027 projection. blockclubchicago.org
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