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Government secrecy

Secrecy cost $18.39 billion the last year the government could count it. The court that unmakes secrets decided 436 pages last year.

Summary

The Information Security Oversight Office — the watchdog of the classification system — reported $18.39 billion in government secrecy costs in fiscal 2017, rising 9% a year, with 58,501 new original secrets and 49 million derivative ones. Its newest report can no longer produce a number: agencies' answers to the same cost question swung from $1.5 billion to $714 million to $300 million to $983 million in four years, fluctuations ISOO says make conclusions impossible. What it can count: 1,661 officials empowered to create Top Secret and Secret information, 1,384 staff-years devoted to declassifying it, and an appeals panel — the system's supreme court — that decided 14 cases totaling 436 pages against a queue of 1,200, including one appeal that waited a decade to unseal documents about Laos in 1961.

By Augustus · July 10, 2026

The finding, in one paragraph: the machinery that makes American secrets and the machinery that unmakes them are not the same size, and the gap is now beyond the government's ability to measure. On the making side: 1,661 officials hold delegated authority to originate Top Secret and Secret classifications, feeding a system that generated 49 million derivative classification decisions the last year anyone counted, at a cost that was $18.39 billion and climbing 9 percent annually when the books were last legible. On the unmaking side: 1,384 full-time-equivalent staff across the entire government, a mandatory-review process whose highest appellate panel adjudicated 436 pages in fiscal 2024, and a queue of 1,200 appeals that, at that pace, clears in roughly 85 years. In between sits the watchdog, reporting — in its own annual report to the President — that it can no longer tell whether the system's cost data is real.

The documents

Two documents, both read directly, fourteen reports apart. The current one is the ISOO FY2024 Annual Report to the President — the source for the OCA delegations, the declassification workforce, the ISCAP statistics, and the cost-data unreliability finding. The baseline is the ISOO FY2017 Annual Report — the last edition to publish a full system-wide cost estimate ($18.39 billion) and full classification-decision counts. Both are issued under Executive Order 13526, which obliges agencies to report this data — the reporting mandate is the one part of the system whose text hasn't changed.

Last countable secrecy cost
$18.39B
FY2017, +9%/yr — plus $1.49B in industry
Officials who can create secrets
1,661
694 at Top Secret — vs 1,384 declassification FTEs
Appeals queue at current pace
≈85 years
1,200 pending; 14 decided in FY2024

The unmaking machine

The supreme court of secrecy, by the numbers
Interagency Security Classification Appeals Panel, FY2024
Appeals pending
1,200
Administratively closed
44
New appeals received
34
Appeals decided
14
Source: ISOO FY2024 Annual Report to the President
View data as table
ISCAP appeals: pending, received, decided
Pending before the panel≈1,200 appeals
Decided in FY202414 appeals436 pages: 140 freed in full, 258 in part, 38 kept secret
Received in FY202434the queue grows faster than it drains
Oldest decidedfiled 2014documents about U.S. involvement in Laos, 1961

The ISCAP is the end of the line: when an agency refuses a mandatory declassification review and refuses the appeal, this panel is the public's final recourse. In fiscal 2024 it decided 14 appeals — 33 documents, 436 pages, of which 140 pages were declassified in full and 38 affirmed secret. It received 34 new appeals and holds about 1,200. The docket it did clear is a museum: appeal 2014-030, decided a decade after filing, unsealed Kennedy Library documents on U.S. involvement in Laos in 1961 — records 63 years old, contested for 10, freed at last in their entirety, which is the system working as designed and is also the problem.

The books

Four answers to one question
Security-clearance investigation costs as reported to ISOO, $ millions
FY2021, as reported
1,500
FY2022, same question
714
FY2023, same question
300
FY2024, same question
983
Source: ISOO FY2024 Annual Report — ISOO: 'unclear... whether these significant fluctuations are a product of varying methods of accounting... or a true and dramatic drop'
View data as table
The cost-reporting sawtooth
FY2021 clearance-investigation costs$1,500M
FY2022≈$714Mless than half the prior year, unexplained
FY2023≈$300Manother unexplained halving
FY2024≈$983Ma >200% jump; ISOO cannot say which numbers are true
Last reliable full-system total$18.39B (FY2017)plus $1.49B for industry; growing 9%/yr when last counted

This is one line item — what agencies spend investigating the people they clear — and its reported value halved, halved again, then tripled, with the system's own overseer unable to say which figures are real. The FY2017 report could still sum the whole enterprise: $18.39 billion for government, $1.49 billion for cleared industry, with personnel security, physical security, and classified-systems maintenance each running to billions. It also recorded the direction of travel, in language worth preserving: "The percentage of Government spending on declassification continues to decrease every year," and decreased declassification "results in higher long-term costs" — every page kept classified is a page that must be guarded, forever, at classified-facility prices.

The cross-examination

The classification system's premise is that information handling must be rigorous, auditable, and consequence-bearing — that is what the $18 billion bought. Hold the system to its own standard. Its cost reporting, mandated by executive order, produces numbers its own overseer disclaims. Its authority rolls persist without use: ISOO's FY2024 assessments found one agency that had not made a classification or declassification decision in over a decade — and another in nearly 15 years — while retaining the authorities and guides. Its corrective pipeline runs at 436 pages a year against a 49-million-decision intake, an asymmetry of roughly five orders of magnitude between making and unmaking. No inspector general would accept this ledger from a benefits program: unknown costs, idle authorities, a review backlog measured in generations. The watchdog knows it — ISOO's reports have said versions of "unsustainable" for years — but ISOO recommends; it cannot compel. The one lever that moves the system, as 2025's headline declassifications of assassination-era files showed, is a presidential order aimed at specific boxes.

What happens next

The FY2025 ISOO report, due this fall, will show whether the cost data recovers legibility and whether the ISCAP queue moved. The structural questions are older than any administration: whether declassification gets funded as the deferred maintenance it is (the FY2017 report's own framing), whether derivative classification gets counted again at all, and whether a 1,200-case queue at the system's only appellate valve is compatible with an executive order that promises the public a review. Every number in this article comes from the system describing itself; the description is the indictment.

The takeaway

  • Secrecy has a deferred-maintenance problem, stated in its own reports. Declassification's budget share falls every year; every unreviewed page bills storage and guarding indefinitely at the $18-billion rate structure.
  • The asymmetry is the system. 1,661 people can make secrets; 1,384 staff-years unmake them; the final appeals body clears 436 pages a year. Intake is measured in tens of millions.
  • A control system that can't count itself has failed its own test. The unreliable cost data isn't a footnote — it is the watchdog reporting, formally, to the President, that the measurement mandate of the executive order is not being met.

All figures are read directly from the ISOO FY2024 and FY2017 Annual Reports to the President. The 85-year figure is arithmetic (1,200 ÷ 14/year), not an official estimate; the queue also grows. The $18.39 billion is the last full-system estimate ISOO published; comparable current totals do not exist — which is part of the finding.

Sources

  • Information Security Oversight Office, 2024 Annual Report to the President — cost-data unreliability finding and the four-year sawtooth, 1,661 OCA delegations, 1,384 declassification FTEs, ISCAP statistics (14 decided / 436 pages / ~1,200 pending), idle-authority findings, appeal 2014-030. archives.gov (PDF)
  • Information Security Oversight Office, 2017 Annual Report to the President — $18.39B government cost (+9% YoY), $1.49B industry estimate, 58,501 original and 49+ million derivative classification decisions, declining declassification share and its long-term cost warning. archives.gov (PDF)
  • Executive Order 13526, § 5.4(d)(8) and 32 C.F.R. 2001.90(c) — the cost-reporting mandate, as cited in the ISOO reports.
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