California's earthquake fund is stronger than ever. Fewer homes are covered than ever.
Summary
The California Earthquake Authority reports $19.4 billion in claims-paying capacity as of June 2025 — enough for a modeled 1-in-365-year event. Only 12.48% of the state's 12.9 million residential insurance policies carry earthquake coverage, and the share is still falling.
The capital stack
CEA is not a state agency backed by tax dollars — it's a publicly managed, privately funded risk pool. Its capacity to pay claims comes from six layers: cash and investments the fund already holds, revenue bonds sold against future claims, reinsurance bought on the private market, and the legal authority to assess both policyholders and participating insurers after a disaster. As of June 30, 2025, those layers add up to $19.39 billion, per CEA's own annual accounting — its largest claims-paying capacity on record.
View data as table
| Available capital | $6,233.5M | cash & investments, net |
|---|---|---|
| Unrealized loss add-back | $38.0M | |
| Industry assessments (2nd layer) | $1,663.4M | |
| Reinsurance (risk transfer) | $7,831.9M | largest single layer |
| Revenue bond proceeds | $2,620.0M | |
| Policyholder surcharges | $1,000.0M | |
| Total claims-paying capacity | $19,386.8M | as of June 30, 2025 |
The single largest layer is reinsurance — $7.8 billion bought on the private market, more than any other source. Two independent rating agencies confirm the fund can carry it: reprinted in CEA's own report, AM Best models the capacity at a 1-in-365-year return period as of January 1, 2024, and KBRA's August 2025 rating affirmation independently puts the same $19.4 billion at a 1-in-395-year event — both well past anything in California's historical earthquake record. None of that capacity is a taxpayer backstop; it exists because CEA charges enough in premiums and surcharges to fund it, which is also why rates keep climbing — the Insurance Commissioner approved a 6.8% increase in June 2024, effective for policies renewing since January 2025.
The coverage gap
A well-capitalized fund only matters to the households actually enrolled in it. Of the 12.9 million residential insurance policies written statewide in 2024 — a figure the California Department of Insurance collects every year through its own earthquake premium and policy-count data call — only 1,609,655 carried earthquake coverage of any kind, CEA or otherwise. That's a 12.48% statewide take-up rate, down from 12.54% the year before. It varies sharply by what's being insured.
View data as table
| Mobilehome owner | 19.93% | 58,641 of 294,291 policies |
|---|---|---|
| Homeowner | 14.94% | 944,197 of 6,320,647 policies |
| Condominium owner | 14.15% | 141,751 of 1,001,979 policies |
| Renter | 12.73% | 390,272 of 3,066,430 policies |
| Statewide, all types | 12.48% | 1,609,655 of 12,897,508 policies; 2023: 12.54% |
| Dwelling Fire | 3.38% | 74,794 of 2,214,161 policies; mostly FAIR Plan |
Mobile-home owners buy it at nearly twice the statewide rate — the housing type most visibly vulnerable to shaking. Dwelling-fire policies sit at the bottom, 3.38%, and CEA's own report notes why: most of those policies are written by the California FAIR Plan, the state's insurer of last resort for homes insurers won't otherwise cover — a population already priced out of the standard market and, evidently, out of earthquake coverage too. CEA itself remains the largest single earthquake insurer, writing 62% of the state's earthquake policies, but its own book is shrinking: 1,000,249 policies in force at year-end 2024, down 3.9% from a year earlier.
The takeaway
- Solvency was solved. CEA's claims-paying capacity — $19.4 billion as of June 2025 — is its largest on record, independently modeled by AM Best and KBRA to withstand events far beyond anything in the state's earthquake history.
- Adoption wasn't. Only 12.48% of California's 12.9 million residential policies carry earthquake coverage, and the rate is still falling year over year — leaving roughly 11.3 million policies with no earthquake protection at all.
- The gap concentrates where affordability is already worst. Dwelling-fire policies — dominated by the FAIR Plan's own hard-to-insure customers — take up earthquake coverage at less than a fifth the mobile-home rate.
Take-up figures are drawn from CDI's statewide policy-count data call for calendar year 2024 and cover all residential earthquake insurers, not CEA alone; CEA's capacity figures are its own June 30, 2025 accounting, six months out of step with the CDI data, as both agencies report on their own cycles.
Sources
- California Earthquake Authority — Annual Report to the Legislature and the California Insurance Commissioner on CEA Program Operations, Report for Calendar Year 2024 (Aug. 1, 2025) — primary source for the claims-paying capacity stack (Attachment C, as of June 30, 2025) and the reprinted 2024 statewide take-up-rate table. earthquakeauthority.com
- California Department of Insurance — Earthquake Premium, Exposures and Policy Count Data Call — the regulatory data call through which CDI collects the statewide residential policy and earthquake-policy counts underlying the take-up rate. insurance.ca.gov
- AM Best — credit rating opinion on CEA, reprinted in the CEA's 2024 annual report — independent modeling of CEA's claims-paying capacity at a 1-in-365-year return period as of Jan. 1, 2024. ambest.com
- KBRA (Kroll Bond Rating Agency) — rating affirmation for CEA's Series 2022A revenue bonds (Aug. 2025) — independent confirmation of the $19.4 billion claims-paying capacity figure as of June 30, 2025, modeled to a 1-in-395-year event. kbra.com
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The California Earthquake Authority (CEA) was built after the 1994 Northridge quake, when insurers fled the homeowners market rather than keep underwriting a peril they couldn't price. Thirty years later the fund it built to solve that crisis is, by every financial measure, in its strongest position yet. Californians are buying less of it than at any point in the record.