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Flood mapping

FEMA Priced Finishing the Nation's Flood Maps at Up to $11.8 Billion. Its Own Budget for the Job Just Fell Again.

Summary

The Association of State Floodplain Managers put the cost of finishing the nation's flood maps at $3.2 billion to $11.8 billion in 2020 — and reaffirmed the estimate in July 2025 because Congress still hasn't funded it. FEMA's own flood-mapping budget fell to $417 million in FY2026 and its FY2027 request cuts it again, while independent flood modeling published in Scientific Reports found 26 million Americans living in floodplains the agency's own maps don't show.

By Locusta · July 10, 2026

A flood map is the document that decides whether a bank requires flood insurance on your mortgage, whether your county lets you build on a lot, and whether you know your house is at risk at all. Two-thirds of the nation's streams, rivers, and coastlines still don't have one, according to the Association of State Floodplain Managers' July 2025 comments to the Department of Homeland Security — the same fraction the group reported five years earlier. The program that's supposed to close that gap just had its budget cut for a third straight year.

Risk MAP funding, FY2026
$417.4M
down from $420.8M in FY2025 vs FY2027 request: $410.2M
Cost to finish the map
$3.2B–$11.8B
one-time, per ASFPM vs 7.7–28.3 yrs of current funding
Residents off the map
26M
not in a FEMA-mapped floodplain vs Scientific Reports, 2025

Follow the money

's flood-mapping program — officially Risk MAP, for Risk Mapping, Assessment, and Planning — runs on two funding streams: a congressional appropriation and a fee tacked onto every National Flood Insurance Program policy. Both are shrinking. Per the DHS/FEMA FY2027 Congressional Budget Justification (published April 2026), the appropriation has held flat at $281.5 million since FY2024, but the policyholder-fee stream has been cut in three consecutive budgets — from $164.6 million in FY2024 to $135.97 million in the current fiscal year, with the FY2027 request cutting it again to $128.8 million. The combined total: $417.4 million for FY2026, on its way to $410.2 million if the FY2027 request holds.

Where Risk MAP's FY2026 budget comes from
Discretionary funding sources, $ millions
Congressional appropriation$281.5MNFIP policyholder fees$136MRisk MAP, FY2026$417.4M
Source: DHS/FEMA, FY2027 Congressional Budget Justification (April 2026), 'Risk MAP Funding Source' table, p. FEMA-NFIP-19
View data as table
Risk MAP funding by source, FY2026 (Annualized CR)
Congressional appropriation$281.5Mflat since FY2024
NFIP policyholder fees$136.0Mdown from $164.6M in FY2024
Risk MAP total, FY2026$417.4MFY2027 request cuts this to $410.2M

The same budget document shows the program is also short on people: is authorized 234 positions for Flood Mapping and Risk MAP, but only 176 are actually funded in FY2026 — a quarter of the authorized headcount left unfilled in the very program responsible for closing a nationwide mapping gap.

The bill nobody's paying

The gap between what Risk MAP gets and what finishing the job would cost isn't a guess. In 2020, ASFPM built a cost model to the parameters Congress itself wrote into the Biggert-Waters Flood Insurance Reform Act of 2012, and priced completing flood hazard mapping for every U.S. community at $3.2 billion to $11.8 billion, one time, plus $107 million to $480 million a year afterward just to keep the maps current. Five years later, in its July 2025 comments to , ASFPM reaffirmed the same range as its live estimate — because Congress never appropriated the money to make it obsolete.

One year of Risk MAP funding, against the cost to finish the map
$, one year of funding vs. a one-time completion cost
Risk MAP, one year (FY2026)
$417.4M
Cost to finish — low estimate
$3.2B
Cost to finish — high estimate
$11.8B
Source: Risk MAP funding: DHS/FEMA FY2027 Congressional Budget Justification. Completion cost: ASFPM, 'Flood Mapping for the Nation' (2020), reaffirmed July 2025
View data as table
Annual funding vs. one-time completion cost
Risk MAP, one year (FY2026)$417.4Mcurrent annual funding, all sources
Cost to finish — low estimate$3.2Bone-time, ASFPM 2020 cost analysis
Cost to finish — high estimate$11.8Bone-time, ASFPM 2020 cost analysis

Put another way: if every dollar Risk MAP receives this year went solely toward finishing the unmapped two-thirds of the country — none of it toward maintaining the one-third that's already mapped, none toward salaries, none toward anything else the program does — the low-end estimate would still take 7.7 years to fund. The high end would take 28.3 years. In practice, none of Risk MAP's budget is set aside that way; the money is split across new mapping, map maintenance, and community outreach, so the real timeline is longer still.

Who the missing maps miss

The consequence of that gap has a headcount. A March 2025 study in Scientific Reports — by researchers at Arizona State University, the University of Utah, First Street Foundation, and flood-modeling firm Fathom-Global, independent of both and ASFPM — used non- flood models to identify "federally-overlooked" 100-year floodplains: places at flood risk under peer-reviewed modeling that 's own Special Flood Hazard Area maps don't show. The finding: more than 26 million residents of the continental United States, or roughly one in ten, live in a floodplain 's maps don't capture at all.

Residents in floodplains FEMA's maps don't show
By flood type, conterminous U.S., 2025
Pluvial (heavy rainfall)
18,000,000
Fluvial (rivers & streams)
5,200,000
Coastal
3,100,000
Source: Flores et al., 'Federally-overlooked flood risk inequities in the conterminous United States,' Scientific Reports 15, 10678 (March 28, 2025)
View data as table
Federally-overlooked floodplain population by flood type
Pluvial (heavy rainfall)18.0Mresidents, federally-overlooked
Fluvial (rivers & streams)5.2Mresidents, federally-overlooked
Coastal3.1Mresidents, federally-overlooked

Rainfall flooding — the kind that overwhelms storm drains during an intense downpour, independent of any river or coastline — accounts for the largest share, 18 million people, because 's maps are built around river and coastal flood models and generally don't depict pluvial risk at all. The same study found lower-income areas systematically more likely to be federally overlooked across every flood type it examined. None of this is abstract: the Congressional Budget Office's September 2024 report found flood damage in the United States has averaged $46 billion a year over the past decade, in 2023 dollars — and projects that figure to grow a quarter to a third larger by 2050 as flood risk increases.

The takeaway

  • The price tag hasn't moved because the funding hasn't either. ASFPM's $3.2–$11.8 billion completion estimate is five years old and still accurate, because Risk MAP's budget has never come close to it — and the fee-funded half of that budget has now been cut three years running.
  • A quarter of the mapping program's authorized staff isn't funded. 234 positions, 176 — in the one program tasked with closing a two-thirds-unmapped gap.
  • The people most affected can't see it in their own paperwork. 26 million Americans live in a floodplain under independent flood modeling that doesn't appear on the federal map their mortgage, insurance, and local zoning decisions actually rely on.

Funding figures cover 's Risk MAP program specifically, not 's total budget or the National Flood Insurance Program's separate borrowing authority. The 26-million floodplain-population figure and its by-type breakdown come from a single independent academic study using non- flood models; has not published a directly comparable nationwide figure for its own maps to net against it.

Sources

  • /, FY2027 Congressional Budget Justification (published April 2026) — Risk MAP funding by source (FY2025–FY2027), Floodplain Management and Flood Mapping PPA staffing (positions vs. ). dhs.gov
  • Association of State Floodplain Managers, Flood Mapping for the Nation: A Cost Analysis for Completing and Maintaining the Nation's NFIP Flood Map Inventory (January 2020) — the $3.2B–$11.8B one-time completion estimate, $107M–$480M/year maintenance estimate, and the 33% stream-mile / 46% shoreline mapped baseline. asfpm-library.s3
  • Association of State Floodplain Managers, Issue Brief on 's National Flood Mapping Program, comments filed July 8, 2025 (Docket No. -2025-0026) — reaffirms the 2020 cost estimate and the "two-thirds unmapped" figure five years later. asfpm-library.s3
  • Flores, A., Collins, T., Grineski, S., Amodeo, M., Porter, J., Sampson, C. & Wing, O., "Federally-overlooked flood risk inequities in the conterminous United States," Scientific Reports 15, 10678 (March 28, 2025) — the 26-million-resident estimate and its breakdown by flood type. nature.com
  • Congressional Budget Office, Federal Spending for Flood Adaptations (September 2024) — the $46 billion/year average flood-damage estimate. cbo.gov
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