Trajan

The government tells you who it's paying, months before the earnings report. We tested whether that's worth money.

Eight registered tests across three free public data streams — short-selling files, Wikipedia attention, federal contract awards — produced seven failures and, this week, one pass: contract flow ranked contractors' next-month returns even after the multiple-testing penalty. Here is the number, the attempts to kill it, and why it still earns a stopwatch instead of a dollar.